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Loss to Lakers painful, but there were positives

When Kobe Bryant beats you, you live with it. Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom, Ron Artest… not fun, but understandable. But when Shannon Brown and Steve Blake beat you, that’s a tough pill to get down.

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Houston Rockets Brad Miller vs. Lakers

Brad Miller made some nice passes in his Houston Rockets debut

When Kobe Bryant beats you, you live with it. Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom, Ron Artest… not fun, but understandable.

But when Shannon Brown and Steve Blake beat you, that’s a tough pill to get down.

That’s what happened Tuesday night in the Rockets opener as Houston controlled most of the first three quarters, then hit a wall, looking a bit clueless trying to contain a three-point onslaught from the Lakers bench duo in a 112-110 loss in LA.

What makes it more difficult to swallow is that the Rockets played exceptionally well in the first half, exploding for 62 points behind the double-barrel backcourt attack of Kevin Martin and Aaron Brooks. The pair hit 6-9 from downtown, combining for 37 points in the first two periods, and the excitement in the arena from the Lakers ring ceremony evaporated pretty quick.

But also on full display was the other side of the coin with Houston’s starting backcourt. Yes, they’re a serious challenge for defenses, but they’re also seriously defensively-challenged.

Go back and watch how Brown and Blake beat the Rockets in the final 13 minutes of game action (I have. Three times. Please help me.) They consistently burned Martin and Brooks from long range. Now there’s not much you can do when a career 33% three-point shooter like Brown hits 4 of 5, but a hand or two up is always nice. On one play, Brown got the ball from 25-feet out with 1.5 ticks left on the shot clock and Martin was still giving him enough space to stop a drive.

Brooks has even less of an excuse because shooting threes is what Blake does.

So on defense, I think there’s a still a question mark. Having Kyle Lowry return is going to be a boost, but your big minute backcourt can’t cause the dam to break, as they did over a 7-minute span late in the third/early in the fourth when the Lakers made up a whopping 19 points, turning an 11-point Rockets advantage into an 8-point deficit.

But this was a nationally-televised road game against the Lakers, back-to-back champions and a team unanimously considered to still be best in the West, and Houston was right there for the win. Got to love that — there were definite positives.

Miller Time
Here’s a guaranteed way to cheer you up: Close your eyes and imagine David Andersen is backing up Yao.

Feel better?

Brad Miller, in his Rocket debut, was solid on the boards (9 rebounds in 25 minutes) and showed why he will be an asset out of the high post. He’s committed to setting solid screens (trust me — not every player is) and he’s a terrific passer. He had two gems in the first half to a cutting Kevin Martin and Chase Budinger. It was the same play where both Miller and the baseline cutter reacted, but Miller threaded the needle both times. Defensively Miller may be a seven-foot tall piñata, but the Brent Barry comparisons don’t fly — he is going to play a key role and he’s going to fit in nicely. Here’s the video below:

Yao is coming along
The primary reason I don’t pick the Rockets as a top seed in the West (I’m guessing 49 wins) is the uncertainty of Yao Ming. You’ve got a cap on his playing time and restrictions on back-to-back games, and that’s a problem when you’re not sure how much you can count on such a large piece of the puzzle.

Case in point: With 6:30 left in the game and the Lakers up 92-91, Yao fouled out… but he was done for the night anyway in the next 60 seconds because he was at 23 minutes played. How difficult does that make it for the Rockets when you have no choice but to pull your game-changing player at such a critical moment? Let’s not even throw out the overtime possibility.

Still, Yao looked pretty good. Sure, there were some problem moments (like when Shannon Brown just took the ball right out of his hands in the post), but he’s progressing nicely. 9 points and 11 boards in 23 minutes and he got off more shots (11) than I anticipated. He doesn’t look tentative on his foot, and that’s all that matters — the rest will get better with each passing game.

Depth
The best way I can sum up the Rockets depth is that I am constantly entertained by their lineups, and that’s rare. There are no pauses, no convenient times to check the fridge, no “Oh, Ryan Bowen’s in” fan timeouts where you triple-check that the DVR isn’t lagging behind.

With a second team consisting of Miller, Chase Budinger, Courtney Lee and (usually) Kyle Lowry, Adelman can keep the quality coming. I’d still give that up in a heartbeat in a trade for a superstar, but the Rockets are going to win some games on their ability alone this year to run quality for 48.

On Deck
No time to rest. After the Lakers, any other West opponent would be a step down, but let’s hope the Rockets don’t sleep on the Warriors tonight. It was backcourt defense that stung in LA, and Golden State runs Monta Ellis and Stephen Curry at you as well as a big who isn’t afraid to get up and down in David Lee. Got to come back home with a split.

Armed with a bizarre fascination for Mario Elie and a deep love of the Houston Rockets, Dave Hardisty started ClutchFans in 1996 under the pen name “Clutch”.

Houston Rockets

Poison Pill: The Impact of Recent Extensions on the Rockets’ Trade Options

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Just before the start of the regular season, the Houston Rockets signed Jalen Green to a three-year, $105.3 million extension and Alperen Sengun to a five-year, $185 million extension, locking up two key pieces of their rebuild. These extensions eliminated any meaningful salary cap room for Houston in the summer of 2025. However, since the NBA is trending away from key players changing teams via free agency (recent examples such as Paul George and the Rockets’ own Fred VanVleet notwithstanding), Rafael Stone and his team likely viewed the extensions as worth the risk.

The Rockets have positioned themselves as one of the league’s most interesting trade teams, as they boast a unique combination of good young players, premium future draft picks, and expiring salaries. But signing Green and Sengun to those extensions made trading each of those players this season significantly more difficult.

Article VII, Section 8(g) of the 2023 NBA Collective Bargaining Agreement – you know the one! – is more commonly known as the Poison Pill Provision, which relates to the trade treatment of players recently signed to rookie scale extensions. If a recently extended player is traded prior to the July 1 in which the extension kicks in, then while the player’s outgoing salary would be the same as his then current cap figure, the player’s incoming salary to the acquiring team would instead be the *average* of the player’s then current salary and all salaries during the extension. This makes any trade made under the Poison Pill Provisions exceedingly difficult.

Using Green and Sengun as examples, their respective outgoing and incoming salaries would be:

Jalen Green
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $12.5 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $29.5 million

Alperen Sengun
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $5.4 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $31.7 million

These vast discrepancies in outgoing and incoming salary treatment make Green and Sengun very difficult to trade, as most NBA trades must fall within salary-matching rules. While there are possible trade scenarios involving numerous players and salaries that could allow for Green or Sengun to be traded, most of those scenarios are unrealistic and/or would involve three or more teams and the expenditure of additional assets to get those additional teams to take on salaries.

The Rockets don’t seem to have much desire to move either Green or Sengun right now. However, if they do decide to move either of them, it would most likely not be until next July, when the Poison Pill Provision is no longer applicable and those players can be traded at their new extension salaries.

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Houston Rockets Draft Decisions: Who Will Be the #3 Pick?

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Houston Rockets Podcast

It’s officially NBA Draft Week!

The weeks of speculation are coming to an end as we’ve just about arrived at the 2024 NBA Draft. The Rockets hold picks #3 and #44 and could be quite active on the trade market.

Dave Hardisty and David Weiner paired up on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the options before the Houston Rockets as they approach the June 26th NBA Draft. Is it really down to Donovan Clingan and Reed Sheppard as options? The pair also discuss trade-down options and whether Devin Carter could be intriguing to Ime Udoka. And are the Rockets a darkhorse for a Paul George trade?

The podcast premieres at 8:00am CT! Come join us!



CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Houston Rockets options with the #3 pick of the 2024 NBA Draft

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Houston Rockets 2024 NBA Draft prospects Zaccharie Risacher Stephon Castle Reed Sheppard Donovan Clingan

The offseason is now underway.

The forecast looks good for the Houston Rockets, but… there’s pressure as well this offseason because there are a handful of other West teams that might have rosier futures. Ime Udoka wants to win and win big. As we are about five weeks away from the NBA Draft, what are the Rockets looking to do this summer?

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Rockets shockingly landing the #3 pick and their options in this draft, including Reed Sheppard, Donovan Clingan, Zaccharie Risacher, Stephon Castle, Matas Buzelis and others. They also discuss the possibility of some big game hunting in Houston.


CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Steven Adams, Mikal Bridges and Trade Possibilities for the Rockets

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Houston Rockets Trade Deadline 2024

The Houston Rockets already made one deal, acquiring center Steven Adams from Memphis for a handful of second-round picks, but we still have several days left before this Thursday’s NBA Trade Deadline.

Are more deals on the way?

Rumors of interest in Mikal Bridges have swirled, with the Rockets holding precious (and unprotected) first-round picks from Brooklyn. They also could use some help inside this season, which Adams can not provide. Shooting is always in demand.

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Adams trade, its impact on the Rockets in 2024-25 and beyond, the Mikal Bridges rumors, the Brooklyn picks, other trade possibilities and options for Rafael Stone moving forward. Also discussed is the play of Houston’s core 6 prospects: Amen Thompson, Cam Whitmore, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason and Jalen Green.


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Rockets trade for center Steven Adams

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Steven Adams Houston Rockets

The Rockets made a surprise trade on Thursday, sending the contract of Victor Oladipo and three second-round picks to Memphis for center Steven Adams.

The deal came together quickly and the Rockets had a small window to get it done, hence why this trade was made with a week to go until the trade deadline.

The Price

When you consider that Memphis did this for cost savings primarily and that Adams would not play for any team in the league this season, the price seemed a little high to me. The Rockets gave up the OKC second-round pick this year, which is no big loss, but they also give up the better of Brooklyn’s or Golden State’s second-round pick this season. That’s a pretty good pick (likely in the late 30’s). They also give up the better of Houston’s or OKC’s second-round pick in 2025. If things go as planned for the Rockets, that pick should be in the 45-55 range.

But they didn’t sacrifice a first-round pick, which would have been brutal, and they were not going to use all those seconds this season. So it’s just a matter of opportunity cost — who else could they have gotten for this package?

My understanding is they (particularly Ime Udoka) are very high on Adams.

The Rockets also did this move for cap purposes as well. By moving out the Oladipo contract, which was expiring, and bringing in Adams’ deal, which is signed for $12.4M next season, the window for the Rockets to put together a trade package for a star player is extended out until the 2025 trade deadline. They continue to wait to see which players, if any, shake loose here and become available. They want flexible (see: expiring) contracts that they can combine with assets and this gives them another year to be in that position.

The Trade

It’s not often that the Rockets acquire a player I had not considered beforehand but that’s the case with Steven Adams. The Rockets sorely need a big with size that provides more traditional center strengths, making Clint Capela, Robert Williams, Nick Richards or Daniel Gafford potential candidates, but Adams was overlooked for a few reasons.

First, the 30-year old big man is out for the season after knee surgery cost him the entire 2023-24 campaign, so the Rockets won’t get any benefit from this trade this season. Secondly, Adams is not your traditional center either when it comes to rim protection.

But what Adams does do, he’s really good at and he has some of the same strengths of Brook Lopez, who the Rockets tried to sign in the offseason. Adams is quite possibly the strongest guy in the league and a legitimate 6-foot-11 with a 7-foot-5 wingspan. He’s an outstanding screen-setter, something that could really benefit the likes of Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson and Jalen Green. He was also an elite rebounder last season, finishing 6th in the league in caroms at 11.5 a game despite playing just 27.0 minutes a contest.

After watching Jonas Valanciunas absolutely bully the Rockets inside on Wednesday, it should be apparent by now to everyone that this was a pretty big need.

In 2021-22, the Memphis Grizzlies finished #2 in the West at 56-26. Their top two players in Net Rating that season were Dillon Brooks (+11.0) and Adams (+8.3), key cogs in a defense that held opponents to 108.6 points per 100 possessions. They’re both now Houston Rockets.

So this adds another trusted vet to Ime Udoka’s rotation.

The question is will the 30-year old Adams return to form after the knee injury? Adams sprained the posterior cruciate ligament in his right knee a year ago, which cost him the end of that season and the playoffs. He tried rehabbing it and it never got better, so surgery became the option just as this season was kicking off.

I like to think the Rockets did their due diligence on that, despite the short time it took for this deal to come together, but that’s unclear.

If he does bounce back, then Udoka has a big man he can turn to reliably in situational matchups or on nights when the younger bigs struggle. He wouldn’t be Boban or even Jock Landale in that scenario — he’s going to play, so the frontcourt depth in 2024-25 should be better. In the end, they got a starting-caliber center who will have no problems coming off the bench, and that’s what they were looking for.

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