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Houston Rockets

By Declining Garcia, Rockets Keeping All Options Open

It was reported on Monday that the Rockets will decline the team option on Francisco Garcia’s contract for the 2013-14 season. Oddly, by declining that option, the Houston Rockets have increased their salary cap flexibility, but not only in the way most people realize.

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Francisco Garcia Houston Rockets

By passing on Francisco Garcia's team option, the Rockets could be over the cap if they so choose

It was reported on Monday that the Rockets will decline the team option on Francisco Garcia’s contract for the 2013-14 season. Oddly, by declining that option, the Houston Rockets have increased their salary cap flexibility, but not only in the way most people realize.

By making Garcia a free agent, the Rockets will likely be OVER the salary cap this July… if they want to be.

In determining whether a team is over or under the salary cap, certain items get added to team salary, such as cap holds for unrenounced free agents and certain salary cap exceptions such as the Mid-Level Exception (MLE) and the Bi-Annual Exception (BAE).  A team can always renounce its rights to its free agents and waive those salary cap exceptions, in which case the team will open up that available cap room.

Sometimes, it is useful for a team with some (but not much) cap room to keep these cap holds and exceptions on its books and to behave like a team over the salary cap.  This way, it will be able to re-sign its free agents and will have those salary cap exceptions at its disposal.

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However, if a team is so far below the salary cap that it would not reach the cap even if the cap holds and salary cap exceptions were added to team salary, then the team loses those salary cap exceptions entirely (Read more about this in Larry Coon’s CBA FAQs here)

Now, as it relates to the Rockets:

Assuming that (a) the salary cap increases to $60 million, (b) the Rockets do, in fact, decline their team option on Garcia, and (c) the Rockets trade or waive Carlos Delfino and Aaron Brooks prior to their contracts becoming guaranteed on June 30 (taking back no salary in any trades), then the Rockets will have a team salary (minus cap holds and salary cap exceptions) of about $43.503 million.

Add to that the amount of the Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception ($5.15 million) and the Bi-Annual Exception ($2.016 million).  The Rockets also should have a small cap hold ($884,293) for Earl Boykins, who to my knowledge was never renounced as a free agent.  That brings the Rockets’ team salary up to $51.554 million.  Even if the Rockets chose to exercise the $6.4 million team option on Garcia’s contract, it would only bring their team salary up to $57.954 million.  Since this is still below the salary cap, the Rockets would lose any right to the MLE or the BAE.

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However, by making Garcia a free agent, his cap hold will count as 150% of his 2012-13 salary against the cap, or $9.15 million, until he is either renounced or signed (by the Rockets or by another team).

By adding Garcia’s cap hold, the Rockets’ team salary increases to $60.704 million, which puts the Rockets over the cap and thus preserves their right to use the MLE and the BAE to sign free agents.

Of course, this is only useful to the Rockets if they elect not to use their cap room, which is expected to be plentiful (if they want it to be).  “Plan A” for the Rockets appears to be to take a run at a premier free agent like Dwight Howard or Chris Paul, though there is no guarantee that such a plan will be successful.  While the acquisition of a superstar free agent is a distinct possibility for the Rockets, it is far from likely to happen.

So, failing attempts to nab that gem free agent, the Rockets could instead elect to make trades; to acquire players via sign-and-trade, taking back more salary than they send out (within the CBA’s salary-matching rules for teams over the salary cap); to add free agents using their salary cap exceptions; and then once much of that has been accomplished, to re-sign Garcia using full Bird rights to any contract the parties wish to agree upon.

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In the end, it is far more likely that the Rockets will elect to use their cap room and that everything mentioned above will be for naught.  And declining the option on Garcia’s contract was a no-brainer regardless of these additional benefits.  It is also possible that the salary cap will increase enough next year that the Rockets cannot preserve their salary cap exceptions.

But the Rockets have nevertheless managed to position themselves uniquely in a situation in which they could either have max cap room OR the use of their salary cap exceptions.

Few teams have this level of salary cap flexibility.

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How the Kyrie Irving Injury Impacts Rockets

Houston’s draft positioning and offseason plans could be impacted by Dallas

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Kyrie Irving Injury

Dallas Mavericks guard Kyrie Irving was injured Monday night and the news dropped on Tuesday that the knee injury is serious — a torn ACL in his left knee that will end his season and a good portion of next season as well.

Brutal. I can’t think of an NBA team that imploded faster than the Dallas Mavericks.

You trade away a 25-year-old phenom who just hoisted you on his back en route to the NBA Finals a year ago. You cashed in that golden ticket to go all-in on a trio of aging stars in Kyrie, Anthony Davis, and Klay Thompson.

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Bold strategy, Nico. Let’s see if it pays off.

(Narrator: It’s not paying off.)

The Mavericks had some interesting potential this year and maybe the next couple of years once everyone was healthy, but now? Their star guard is likely out until the calendar year 2026 and Klay and AD aren’t getting any younger nor more durable. The Mavericks may have actually swapped their future for a present that never arrives — and Dallas GM Nico Harrison has to be feeling overwhelming pressure right now.

So how does this impact the Rockets?

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For starters, Houston has a game remaining on the schedule against Dallas on March 14th at Toyota Center — Davis may or may not be back for that game.

More importantly, Dallas is the 10th seed in the West at the moment, just 3.5 games ahead of the Phoenix Suns (11th seed). The Rockets control Phoenix’s first-round pick unprotected this season via a swap. We need as many West teams as possible ahead of Phoenix to keep them out of the play-in/playoffs and to push them as deep into the lotto as possible.

This complicates that. Phoenix’s remaining schedule is the toughest in the NBA by a good margin, with plenty of games left against the league’s best teams, so it still looks promising overall — but we’re talking about Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal. They can still get hot at the right time while Dallas may struggle.

So keep a close eye on that. The good news is the Portland Trail Blazers are one of the hottest teams in the league and they are (shockingly) nipping at the Arizona squad’s heels.

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Taking a look ahead to the offseason, the Kevin Durant Pursuit will be big.

This one is a little more complicated for Houston. The Rockets really want Devin Booker but, as of now, the Phoenix plan appears to be to trade KD this offseason and retool around Booker. The Rockets will have interest in Durant but they’re not going to sell the farm (prospects and all the picks) for a 37-year old like they would for Booker.

Three teams that I’ve heard a lot about from Rockets circles that will be in the mix are Houston, Minnesota and Dallas — Timberwolves and Mavericks have been considered the main competition. But, a lot of this will depend on Durant himself and where he wants to play at this stage of his career.

Keep in mind also, if the Suns are “retooling” around Booker and Beal (holding the no-trade clause), then they could be placing a higher priority on win-now players over the return of their own draft assets. The Rockets definitely have the best assets overall to offer up in any trade package between those three teams, but if Phoenix does prefer finding the right ready-to-win players around Booker/Beal, that gives Dallas and Minnesota a real chance.

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This injury “may” take Dallas out of the equation, and they are/were definitely a contender for KD’s services given his past relationship with Kyrie and the way Dallas was positioned to win right now. Does KD at his age want to wait for Kyrie to be healthy?

And one last friendly reminder: The Rockets control that Dallas 2029 first (unprotected).

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Rockets Sign David Roddy to Two-Way Contract

Former first-round pick has played with the Grizzlies, Suns and Hawks

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David Roddy Houston Rockets

The Rockets made a move on Monday, signing former first-round pick David Roddy to a two-way contract.

The two-way spot opened up after the front office signed Jeenathan Williams to a standard four-year, $8.2 million contract (with friendly team options all along the way).

Roddy is 6-foot-5 and 250+ pounds but sports a 6-foot-11 wingspan. He was taken with the 23rd pick in the first round of the 2022 NBA Draft — six selections after the Rockets drafted Tari Eason. A standout in college, Roddy averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1.2 steals, and 1.1 blocks per game during his junior season at Colorado State.

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Roddy, who turns 24 later this month, is a physical player who can play multiple positions. He’s a solid rebounder for his size/position. He has played in 165 games over three seasons with the Grizzlies, Suns, Hawks and most recently Sixers, averaging 6.2 points and 2.9 rebounds per game.

The guard/forward has not shown efficient shooting, however — he’s a career 30.5% three-point shooter and just 68.4% from the line. His defense is better inside than out.

Ultimately, it will be those two things — three-point shooting and defense — that will determine his chances of carving out a consistent role in the league.

All in all, it’s a low-risk signing and the Rockets get a look at a prospect that fits their age timeline.

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Houston a potential landing spot for Ben Simmons post-buyout?

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Ben Simmons Houston Rockets

ESPN NBA analyst Brian Windhorst said on Thursday’s NBA Trade Deadline show that Brooklyn Nets forward Ben Simmons is working on a buyout and the Houston Rockets is a potential landing spot for him.

“Cleveland and Houston are two situations for Ben Simmons,” said Windhorst.

Rockets coach Ime Udoka was an assistant coach in Philadelphia in 2019-20 when Simmons was with the Sixers, before injuries took a significant toll. In fact, Udoka, when speaking about Amen Thompson earlier this season, brought up some comparisons to Simmons.

“The skill set is there, and it’s something that’s unique with his speed, athleticism, size, passing ability, and all those things,” said Udoka of Thompson. “I coached somebody, Ben Simmons, who had similar traits… as far as size and ability to push the pace, and find guys and finish. There are some similarities there.”

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Both Thompson and Simmons are known for their elite athleticism, defensive versatility, and ability to create opportunities in transition.

However, can Simmons help the Rockets today? That’s the tough question.

Simmons has played in 33 games this season, averaging 6.2 points, 6.9 assists, 5.2 rebounds, 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocks in 25 minutes a night. He does not shoot threes (like, at all) — he has only attempted two threes in the past three seasons combined.

Ideally, he does not play in front of your young forwards of Amen, Tari Eason and Jabari Smith Jr. and on that basis alone, I think I would pass. But, Ime loves defensive dogs and he could use some extra ballhandling on the roster. You can see that there’s little in the way of offensive organization when Fred VanVleet is out.

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There would be a comical full circle moment though if the Rockets did sign Ben Simmons, considering the Rockets were heavily criticized for trading James Harden in 2021 to Brooklyn instead of to Philadelphia for Simmons. The Rockets clearly made the right choice there.

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Rockets pick up another second-round pick in deal with Hawks

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Cody Zeller

The Houston Rockets are working the phones to do a little more asset management.

After acquiring a second-round pick from Boston to take on Jaden Springer’s salary, the Rockets made another similar move, absorbing the contract of Cody Zeller this season to get back a 2028 second-round pick.

Ironically, that pick is Houston’s own 2028 second-round pick that the Rockets sent to Atlanta in 2023.

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The Rockets waived Springer to make roster room for Zeller. They will likely do the same with Zeller in order to make room for a buyout signing in the coming days or weeks.

It’s a small move but it’s another good one on the margins. These second-round picks add up. The two the Rockets got in the past couple of days — Boston’s 2030 second and Houston’s own 2028 second — could be eventually combined in a deal that nets the Rockets a solid role player down the line. Houston did exactly this last season when they acquired Steven Adams from Memphis.

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So quick grade? Easy A. Solid asset management work by Rockets GM Rafael Stone and credit to Rockets owner Tilman Fertitta for being willing to spend millions just to get some extra seconds.

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Rockets Pick Up Jaden Springer, Second-Round Pick in Trade with Celtics

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Jaden Springer Houston Rockets

The NBA Trade Deadline is just over 24 hours away but the Houston Rockets have already made a move.

OK, it’s not that kind of move, but Rafael Stone and the front office did make a trade on the margins on Wednesday, picking up Jaden Springer and a 2030 second-round pick from Boston.

The Rockets leveraged their open roster spot and salary situation to take the contract of Springer off the hands of the Celtics, who are saving a ton in luxury tax payments by making the move. It’s smart business by the Rockets, who are doing this for a second-round pick in 2030.

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Now, usually a Celtics second-round pick is not worth much, but this is five years out so it’s a quality asset as far as seconds go. In today’s NBA, these kinds of picks have grown in value as key assets for being in a position to land solid role players. With the Rockets planning on being a playoff team for the next several years, this addition could prove useful in addressing future roster needs.

This trade framework between Houston and Boston may not be new to you. If you watched or listened to the ClutchFans Podcast on Monday, David Weiner, aka BimaThug, literally called out this exact possibility of the Rockets taking on Springer and landing a second-round pick.

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As for Springer himself, this was a player I liked quite a bit in the 2021 NBA Draft and I wanted the Rockets to take him at the Josh Christopher spot. He has not quite panned out just yet. He’s got good size for a point guard (6-foot-4, 200 pounds) but is not a strong playmaker and has not been incredibly accurate as a shooter (25.0% from three).

But he does have good defensive potential. Does that get Ime Udoka’s attention at all? Possibly, but the Rockets likely will get an end-of-the-bench look at him for the rest of the season before his contract expires this offseason.

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