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Rockets remind us all why they are serious contenders

After the Game 2 disappointment that brought back old questions, the Houston Rockets showed us how this team is different

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James Harden Houston Rockets Utah Game 3

In the first round of the NBA playoffs, the Utah Jazz got beat up in the first game only to steal a road win in Game 2, coming home to Salt Lake City to take big wins in the next two to seize a commanding lead in their series.

Donovan Mitchell and company learned pretty early on Friday night that the Houston Rockets are not the Oklahoma City Thunder.

After a shocking loss in Game 2 that gave the Utah Jazz homecourt advantage in the series and brought questions about their playoff past back to the surface, the Rockets rebounded in a big way for Game 3, building a lead as hefty as 38 points and cruising to a 113-92 victory in front of a loud, sellout crowd that by halftime was likely wishing it was anywhere but there.

Just about everything that went wrong for the Rockets in Game 2 went right in Game 3.

The Rockets have been very good defensively this season, but considering the stakes and the environment, this was the best defense they’ve played all season. They were laser-focused from the tip, locking down the rook and forcing Joe Ingles into turnovers after his Larry Bird impersonation on Wednesday. Kudos go to all the Rockets because this was truly a team effort, but Trevor Ariza and Clint Capela set the tone in a big way early on.

This game, highlighted by that crushing defense and offensive versatility, illustrated perfectly how the Rockets are a much more well-rounded team than they were this time last season.

What the Rockets didn’t have in 2016-17 – the mid-range game

The odd thing here is: The Rockets did not shoot well in Game 3. They were only 11-36 (30.6%) from downtown, which isn’t much better than their output in Game 2. But it was clear they strayed from their normal philosophy and took what was given to them.

It was almost surgical how the Rockets picked apart the highly-respected Jazz defense with the mid-range game. Watch as Paul or Gordon find the middle ground, with Rudy Gobert sagging, and bury the mid-range shot.

These are still not the ideal shots that the Rockets want, but if it’s a threat, if the Rockets can turn to this consistently when necessary, it’s going to make it that much more difficult for opposing defenses to shut down the threes or paint points.

James Harden’s defense was not good — it was great

Let’s not go ‘national media’ here and ignore James Harden’s defense. He was making big stops in the first quarter as the Rockets proceeded to pull away early.

Harden has been a solid defensive player for some time now. Lazy narratives still mock his defense but it’s just not true any more. He knows where to be, how the scheme works and how to funnel players to the right spots. He is solid at switching and is damn good at guarding the post, where he can use his strength to body up bigger players and doesn’t have to deal with blazing fast gnats. Harden will still experience problems in transition on occasion and he’s not a great perimeter defender against quick guards, but he’s been very good inside a defensive scheme that was ranked sixth overall this season.

That’s what made what he did Friday night so impressive. Harden kept perimeter players from driving past him, especially Ingles. He consistently kept a body on Ingles drives, halting the penetration that the Jazz used consistently in Game 2 and the second half of Game 1.

Some players say they’re going to “shut that sh*t off” and then go out and get torched. Others say nothing and then go out and actually do it.

Clint Capela is going to be filthy rich this summer

‘Foul-Machine Capela’ and ‘Easily-Winded Capela’ appear to be two past models of the young center that are now officially retired. He is blooming in these playoffs. Capela’s rim protection in Game 3 was on another level — 11 points, eight rebounds, four assists, four blocks, two steals and numerous altered shots. His straight-up stuffs of Derrick Favors and Gobert in the first half were truly worthy of the call that ESPN made: “It’s his paint and nobody’s allowed!”

He’s now averaging 16.0 points on over 61% shooting, 10.3 rebounds, 2.3 blocks and 1.3 steals in the series.

Consider that he has gone up against an All-Star in Karl-Anthony Towns and now the Defensive Player of the Year in Gobert and he has outshined both by miles. Gobert is a game-changer that completely controlled the paint against the Thunder and he has been totally marginalized in this series, in no small part because of Capela.

Clint has been the best center in this series. Period. Some team is going to sign him to a ridiculous offer sheet and the Rockets are going to have to pony up this summer to keep him.

Ryan Anderson only played garbage time

This is a player who averaged nearly 30 minutes a night for the first 50 games this season, starting virtually every game, and the Rockets were 37-13. Now he’s practically unplayable? You take a deep breath and realize you have an issue. I don’t know how you overcome this, but if Anderson is a zero against the Timberwolves and the Jazz, how can he be of use to you at all? He still has two years and ~$40 million remaining on his deal.

It’s going to cost the Rockets a fortune to keep Capela this summer. It’s also going to cost them a fortune to unload Anderson.

Hopefully I’m overreacting to one game, but I suspect that he’s now just an adjustment piece, a guy D’Antoni may turn to in a series when things have become too predictable.

Armed with a bizarre fascination for Mario Elie and a deep love of the Houston Rockets, Dave Hardisty started ClutchFans in 1996 under the pen name “Clutch”.

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Poison Pill: The Impact of Recent Extensions on the Rockets’ Trade Options

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Just before the start of the regular season, the Houston Rockets signed Jalen Green to a three-year, $105.3 million extension and Alperen Sengun to a five-year, $185 million extension, locking up two key pieces of their rebuild. These extensions eliminated any meaningful salary cap room for Houston in the summer of 2025. However, since the NBA is trending away from key players changing teams via free agency (recent examples such as Paul George and the Rockets’ own Fred VanVleet notwithstanding), Rafael Stone and his team likely viewed the extensions as worth the risk.

The Rockets have positioned themselves as one of the league’s most interesting trade teams, as they boast a unique combination of good young players, premium future draft picks, and expiring salaries. But signing Green and Sengun to those extensions made trading each of those players this season significantly more difficult.

Article VII, Section 8(g) of the 2023 NBA Collective Bargaining Agreement – you know the one! – is more commonly known as the Poison Pill Provision, which relates to the trade treatment of players recently signed to rookie scale extensions. If a recently extended player is traded prior to the July 1 in which the extension kicks in, then while the player’s outgoing salary would be the same as his then current cap figure, the player’s incoming salary to the acquiring team would instead be the *average* of the player’s then current salary and all salaries during the extension. This makes any trade made under the Poison Pill Provisions exceedingly difficult.

Using Green and Sengun as examples, their respective outgoing and incoming salaries would be:

Jalen Green
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $12.5 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $29.5 million

Alperen Sengun
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $5.4 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $31.7 million

These vast discrepancies in outgoing and incoming salary treatment make Green and Sengun very difficult to trade, as most NBA trades must fall within salary-matching rules. While there are possible trade scenarios involving numerous players and salaries that could allow for Green or Sengun to be traded, most of those scenarios are unrealistic and/or would involve three or more teams and the expenditure of additional assets to get those additional teams to take on salaries.

The Rockets don’t seem to have much desire to move either Green or Sengun right now. However, if they do decide to move either of them, it would most likely not be until next July, when the Poison Pill Provision is no longer applicable and those players can be traded at their new extension salaries.

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Houston Rockets Draft Decisions: Who Will Be the #3 Pick?

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Houston Rockets Podcast

It’s officially NBA Draft Week!

The weeks of speculation are coming to an end as we’ve just about arrived at the 2024 NBA Draft. The Rockets hold picks #3 and #44 and could be quite active on the trade market.

Dave Hardisty and David Weiner paired up on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the options before the Houston Rockets as they approach the June 26th NBA Draft. Is it really down to Donovan Clingan and Reed Sheppard as options? The pair also discuss trade-down options and whether Devin Carter could be intriguing to Ime Udoka. And are the Rockets a darkhorse for a Paul George trade?

The podcast premieres at 8:00am CT! Come join us!



CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Houston Rockets options with the #3 pick of the 2024 NBA Draft

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Houston Rockets 2024 NBA Draft prospects Zaccharie Risacher Stephon Castle Reed Sheppard Donovan Clingan

The offseason is now underway.

The forecast looks good for the Houston Rockets, but… there’s pressure as well this offseason because there are a handful of other West teams that might have rosier futures. Ime Udoka wants to win and win big. As we are about five weeks away from the NBA Draft, what are the Rockets looking to do this summer?

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Rockets shockingly landing the #3 pick and their options in this draft, including Reed Sheppard, Donovan Clingan, Zaccharie Risacher, Stephon Castle, Matas Buzelis and others. They also discuss the possibility of some big game hunting in Houston.


CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Steven Adams, Mikal Bridges and Trade Possibilities for the Rockets

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Houston Rockets Trade Deadline 2024

The Houston Rockets already made one deal, acquiring center Steven Adams from Memphis for a handful of second-round picks, but we still have several days left before this Thursday’s NBA Trade Deadline.

Are more deals on the way?

Rumors of interest in Mikal Bridges have swirled, with the Rockets holding precious (and unprotected) first-round picks from Brooklyn. They also could use some help inside this season, which Adams can not provide. Shooting is always in demand.

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Adams trade, its impact on the Rockets in 2024-25 and beyond, the Mikal Bridges rumors, the Brooklyn picks, other trade possibilities and options for Rafael Stone moving forward. Also discussed is the play of Houston’s core 6 prospects: Amen Thompson, Cam Whitmore, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason and Jalen Green.


CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Rockets trade for center Steven Adams

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Steven Adams Houston Rockets

The Rockets made a surprise trade on Thursday, sending the contract of Victor Oladipo and three second-round picks to Memphis for center Steven Adams.

The deal came together quickly and the Rockets had a small window to get it done, hence why this trade was made with a week to go until the trade deadline.

The Price

When you consider that Memphis did this for cost savings primarily and that Adams would not play for any team in the league this season, the price seemed a little high to me. The Rockets gave up the OKC second-round pick this year, which is no big loss, but they also give up the better of Brooklyn’s or Golden State’s second-round pick this season. That’s a pretty good pick (likely in the late 30’s). They also give up the better of Houston’s or OKC’s second-round pick in 2025. If things go as planned for the Rockets, that pick should be in the 45-55 range.

But they didn’t sacrifice a first-round pick, which would have been brutal, and they were not going to use all those seconds this season. So it’s just a matter of opportunity cost — who else could they have gotten for this package?

My understanding is they (particularly Ime Udoka) are very high on Adams.

The Rockets also did this move for cap purposes as well. By moving out the Oladipo contract, which was expiring, and bringing in Adams’ deal, which is signed for $12.4M next season, the window for the Rockets to put together a trade package for a star player is extended out until the 2025 trade deadline. They continue to wait to see which players, if any, shake loose here and become available. They want flexible (see: expiring) contracts that they can combine with assets and this gives them another year to be in that position.

The Trade

It’s not often that the Rockets acquire a player I had not considered beforehand but that’s the case with Steven Adams. The Rockets sorely need a big with size that provides more traditional center strengths, making Clint Capela, Robert Williams, Nick Richards or Daniel Gafford potential candidates, but Adams was overlooked for a few reasons.

First, the 30-year old big man is out for the season after knee surgery cost him the entire 2023-24 campaign, so the Rockets won’t get any benefit from this trade this season. Secondly, Adams is not your traditional center either when it comes to rim protection.

But what Adams does do, he’s really good at and he has some of the same strengths of Brook Lopez, who the Rockets tried to sign in the offseason. Adams is quite possibly the strongest guy in the league and a legitimate 6-foot-11 with a 7-foot-5 wingspan. He’s an outstanding screen-setter, something that could really benefit the likes of Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson and Jalen Green. He was also an elite rebounder last season, finishing 6th in the league in caroms at 11.5 a game despite playing just 27.0 minutes a contest.

After watching Jonas Valanciunas absolutely bully the Rockets inside on Wednesday, it should be apparent by now to everyone that this was a pretty big need.

In 2021-22, the Memphis Grizzlies finished #2 in the West at 56-26. Their top two players in Net Rating that season were Dillon Brooks (+11.0) and Adams (+8.3), key cogs in a defense that held opponents to 108.6 points per 100 possessions. They’re both now Houston Rockets.

So this adds another trusted vet to Ime Udoka’s rotation.

The question is will the 30-year old Adams return to form after the knee injury? Adams sprained the posterior cruciate ligament in his right knee a year ago, which cost him the end of that season and the playoffs. He tried rehabbing it and it never got better, so surgery became the option just as this season was kicking off.

I like to think the Rockets did their due diligence on that, despite the short time it took for this deal to come together, but that’s unclear.

If he does bounce back, then Udoka has a big man he can turn to reliably in situational matchups or on nights when the younger bigs struggle. He wouldn’t be Boban or even Jock Landale in that scenario — he’s going to play, so the frontcourt depth in 2024-25 should be better. In the end, they got a starting-caliber center who will have no problems coming off the bench, and that’s what they were looking for.

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