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Houston’s chances of landing a star this summer

Big names are on the block and the Rockets are interested, but who do they have a realistic chance of getting?

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When an NBA star is put on the trading block, you can guarantee the Houston Rockets are inquiring. Reporting that the Rockets are interested in or have made calls about available superstars is like breaking news that water is wet. It’s Daryl Morey. The Rockets will always try to add a star to their lineup, whether they have three already on the roster or none at all.

So it’s no surprise that the Rockets are mentioned in several rumors as trade season starts to get into gear with the NBA Draft looming this Thursday. Let’s take a look at some of the names on the market and weigh in on Houston’s chances.

Paul George
Paul George James Harden Houston Rockets
Paul George has told the Pacers that he will not re-sign with them in 2018 and he is dead set on signing with the Los Angeles Lakers that summer. George is 27 years old and a top performer on both sides of the floor. He shot over 39% from three last season with the Pacers (a career 37% from deep) and averaged nearly 24 points a night. He would be a brilliant get for Rocket brass — an athletic wing who can shoot, run, score and defend would be a terrific complement to James Harden and a great fit for Mike D’Antoni’s system. So it’s little shock the Rockets are trying to get George. The problem is it doesn’t appear the Rockets have the type of assets to get such a player. However, one wild card remains: George and his agent are telling teams that he would only be a rental, which likely drives down the price for him in a deal. Threats like that don’t scare Morey — it certainly didn’t when he pursued Dwight Howard in 2012. I don’t like the prospects of giving up future draft picks for someone who might walk in a year (ask Brooklyn about that), but this is a must-chase player. It’s still a longshot, but I would expect the Rockets to push very, very hard for a deal here.

Kristaps Porzingis
So the Knicks have supposedly put their only hope for a future on the trading block. It’s a bit hard to believe, but if Phil Jackson is actually going to move Kristaps Porzingis, the Rockets would have no chance. Combining Clint Capela, Sam Dekker, Sergio Llull and future picks isn’t going to beat better packages of young talent that the Knicks could acquire.

Chris Paul
Chris Paul Houston Rockets
If Chris Paul is interested in your team, you’re listening. He’s an incredible talent that will hit free agency on the first day of July. He reportedly has the Rockets on his list. The Rockets would have to get quite creative to even have the cap room to sign him, but having said that, I can’t think of a superstar who would be more luxury than fit for the Rockets than Paul. The team just spent an entire season handing the point guard reins to Harden, who led the league in assists. The strength of Harden is that he’s such a playmaking force with the ball in his hands. Are you going to make him a true two, spotting up off of Paul and getting buckets off cuts, or are you turning Paul into the secondary playmaker and shooter? Granted, Paul is far superior to Ty Lawson, but it seems we learned this lesson already in 2015-16. And from Paul’s view, why not choose the Spurs, who are clearly in need of a point guard? Hey, I wouldn’t turn down the chance to have two of the best point guards in the league on my team, but it just doesn’t seem ideal in many ways.

Jimmy Butler
Jimmy Butler is definitely on the trading block and the Houston (err, Tomball) native would be a nice fit with the Rockets, but the price is very high. The Bulls are notorious for being tough to trade with, but the market value for Butler is simply not something the Rockets can meet.

Carmelo Anthony
Carmelo Anthony Houston Rockets
Remember that? I still think of this image every time I walk by that wall in the Rockets locker room. I have to confess: When Morey said the Rockets had “something up their sleeve” and might “up their risk profile” to try to beat the Warriors, I immediately thought of Carmelo Anthony. Why? In a nutshell, he’s widely available. His play has been declining, he hasn’t been happy and Phil Jackson wants to ship him off. The Rockets have had past interest and though Anthony’s a risk at this stage, there is explosive scoring ability potential there. His contract is one year shorter than Ryan Anderson’s and the upside could be high as a smallball four — where Anderson came up short in the playoffs and lacked scoring punch, Anthony is not shy about launching. But the past history between Anthony and D’Antoni makes this unlikely. If the Rockets strike out elsewhere and the price ends up significantly reduced, I could see Morey envisioning this as a buy low possibility.

Landing a superstar is no easy task. The Rockets get criticized often for “falling short” in their pursuit of one, but there should be no shame in trying. In fact, we should consider ourselves lucky that the Rockets consistently make these efforts. This organization is in a much better situation than they were last summer when they couldn’t get an audience with Kevin Durant and couldn’t even woo Kent Bazemore. The 2016-17 turnaround season changed that. While the end result of superstar chases is likely to be unsatisfying, the Rockets should once again get more looks their way as a viable championship contender.

Armed with a bizarre fascination for Mario Elie and a deep love of the Houston Rockets, Dave Hardisty started ClutchFans in 1996 under the pen name “Clutch”.

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Poison Pill: The Impact of Recent Extensions on the Rockets’ Trade Options

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Just before the start of the regular season, the Houston Rockets signed Jalen Green to a three-year, $105.3 million extension and Alperen Sengun to a five-year, $185 million extension, locking up two key pieces of their rebuild. These extensions eliminated any meaningful salary cap room for Houston in the summer of 2025. However, since the NBA is trending away from key players changing teams via free agency (recent examples such as Paul George and the Rockets’ own Fred VanVleet notwithstanding), Rafael Stone and his team likely viewed the extensions as worth the risk.

The Rockets have positioned themselves as one of the league’s most interesting trade teams, as they boast a unique combination of good young players, premium future draft picks, and expiring salaries. But signing Green and Sengun to those extensions made trading each of those players this season significantly more difficult.

Article VII, Section 8(g) of the 2023 NBA Collective Bargaining Agreement – you know the one! – is more commonly known as the Poison Pill Provision, which relates to the trade treatment of players recently signed to rookie scale extensions. If a recently extended player is traded prior to the July 1 in which the extension kicks in, then while the player’s outgoing salary would be the same as his then current cap figure, the player’s incoming salary to the acquiring team would instead be the *average* of the player’s then current salary and all salaries during the extension. This makes any trade made under the Poison Pill Provisions exceedingly difficult.

Using Green and Sengun as examples, their respective outgoing and incoming salaries would be:

Jalen Green
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $12.5 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $29.5 million

Alperen Sengun
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $5.4 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $31.7 million

These vast discrepancies in outgoing and incoming salary treatment make Green and Sengun very difficult to trade, as most NBA trades must fall within salary-matching rules. While there are possible trade scenarios involving numerous players and salaries that could allow for Green or Sengun to be traded, most of those scenarios are unrealistic and/or would involve three or more teams and the expenditure of additional assets to get those additional teams to take on salaries.

The Rockets don’t seem to have much desire to move either Green or Sengun right now. However, if they do decide to move either of them, it would most likely not be until next July, when the Poison Pill Provision is no longer applicable and those players can be traded at their new extension salaries.

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Houston Rockets Draft Decisions: Who Will Be the #3 Pick?

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Houston Rockets Podcast

It’s officially NBA Draft Week!

The weeks of speculation are coming to an end as we’ve just about arrived at the 2024 NBA Draft. The Rockets hold picks #3 and #44 and could be quite active on the trade market.

Dave Hardisty and David Weiner paired up on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the options before the Houston Rockets as they approach the June 26th NBA Draft. Is it really down to Donovan Clingan and Reed Sheppard as options? The pair also discuss trade-down options and whether Devin Carter could be intriguing to Ime Udoka. And are the Rockets a darkhorse for a Paul George trade?

The podcast premieres at 8:00am CT! Come join us!



CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Houston Rockets options with the #3 pick of the 2024 NBA Draft

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Houston Rockets 2024 NBA Draft prospects Zaccharie Risacher Stephon Castle Reed Sheppard Donovan Clingan

The offseason is now underway.

The forecast looks good for the Houston Rockets, but… there’s pressure as well this offseason because there are a handful of other West teams that might have rosier futures. Ime Udoka wants to win and win big. As we are about five weeks away from the NBA Draft, what are the Rockets looking to do this summer?

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Rockets shockingly landing the #3 pick and their options in this draft, including Reed Sheppard, Donovan Clingan, Zaccharie Risacher, Stephon Castle, Matas Buzelis and others. They also discuss the possibility of some big game hunting in Houston.


CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Steven Adams, Mikal Bridges and Trade Possibilities for the Rockets

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Houston Rockets Trade Deadline 2024

The Houston Rockets already made one deal, acquiring center Steven Adams from Memphis for a handful of second-round picks, but we still have several days left before this Thursday’s NBA Trade Deadline.

Are more deals on the way?

Rumors of interest in Mikal Bridges have swirled, with the Rockets holding precious (and unprotected) first-round picks from Brooklyn. They also could use some help inside this season, which Adams can not provide. Shooting is always in demand.

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Adams trade, its impact on the Rockets in 2024-25 and beyond, the Mikal Bridges rumors, the Brooklyn picks, other trade possibilities and options for Rafael Stone moving forward. Also discussed is the play of Houston’s core 6 prospects: Amen Thompson, Cam Whitmore, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason and Jalen Green.


CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Rockets trade for center Steven Adams

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Steven Adams Houston Rockets

The Rockets made a surprise trade on Thursday, sending the contract of Victor Oladipo and three second-round picks to Memphis for center Steven Adams.

The deal came together quickly and the Rockets had a small window to get it done, hence why this trade was made with a week to go until the trade deadline.

The Price

When you consider that Memphis did this for cost savings primarily and that Adams would not play for any team in the league this season, the price seemed a little high to me. The Rockets gave up the OKC second-round pick this year, which is no big loss, but they also give up the better of Brooklyn’s or Golden State’s second-round pick this season. That’s a pretty good pick (likely in the late 30’s). They also give up the better of Houston’s or OKC’s second-round pick in 2025. If things go as planned for the Rockets, that pick should be in the 45-55 range.

But they didn’t sacrifice a first-round pick, which would have been brutal, and they were not going to use all those seconds this season. So it’s just a matter of opportunity cost — who else could they have gotten for this package?

My understanding is they (particularly Ime Udoka) are very high on Adams.

The Rockets also did this move for cap purposes as well. By moving out the Oladipo contract, which was expiring, and bringing in Adams’ deal, which is signed for $12.4M next season, the window for the Rockets to put together a trade package for a star player is extended out until the 2025 trade deadline. They continue to wait to see which players, if any, shake loose here and become available. They want flexible (see: expiring) contracts that they can combine with assets and this gives them another year to be in that position.

The Trade

It’s not often that the Rockets acquire a player I had not considered beforehand but that’s the case with Steven Adams. The Rockets sorely need a big with size that provides more traditional center strengths, making Clint Capela, Robert Williams, Nick Richards or Daniel Gafford potential candidates, but Adams was overlooked for a few reasons.

First, the 30-year old big man is out for the season after knee surgery cost him the entire 2023-24 campaign, so the Rockets won’t get any benefit from this trade this season. Secondly, Adams is not your traditional center either when it comes to rim protection.

But what Adams does do, he’s really good at and he has some of the same strengths of Brook Lopez, who the Rockets tried to sign in the offseason. Adams is quite possibly the strongest guy in the league and a legitimate 6-foot-11 with a 7-foot-5 wingspan. He’s an outstanding screen-setter, something that could really benefit the likes of Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson and Jalen Green. He was also an elite rebounder last season, finishing 6th in the league in caroms at 11.5 a game despite playing just 27.0 minutes a contest.

After watching Jonas Valanciunas absolutely bully the Rockets inside on Wednesday, it should be apparent by now to everyone that this was a pretty big need.

In 2021-22, the Memphis Grizzlies finished #2 in the West at 56-26. Their top two players in Net Rating that season were Dillon Brooks (+11.0) and Adams (+8.3), key cogs in a defense that held opponents to 108.6 points per 100 possessions. They’re both now Houston Rockets.

So this adds another trusted vet to Ime Udoka’s rotation.

The question is will the 30-year old Adams return to form after the knee injury? Adams sprained the posterior cruciate ligament in his right knee a year ago, which cost him the end of that season and the playoffs. He tried rehabbing it and it never got better, so surgery became the option just as this season was kicking off.

I like to think the Rockets did their due diligence on that, despite the short time it took for this deal to come together, but that’s unclear.

If he does bounce back, then Udoka has a big man he can turn to reliably in situational matchups or on nights when the younger bigs struggle. He wouldn’t be Boban or even Jock Landale in that scenario — he’s going to play, so the frontcourt depth in 2024-25 should be better. In the end, they got a starting-caliber center who will have no problems coming off the bench, and that’s what they were looking for.

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