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Rockets vs Spurs: Breaking Down the Game 1 Beatdown

Taking a look at how the Houston Rockets stunned the world with a Game 1 rout of the Spurs in San Antonio.

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Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs Game 1

The Rockets posted a complete team victory in game 1 of their 2nd round series against the Spurs on Monday night, annihilating San Antonio 126-99 with all cylinders of their high-octane offense firing. There were too many highlights to mention–from a barrage of threes to a chant of “let’s go Rockets” reverberating around an emptying AT&T center–so I leave you with my favorite seven highlights and storylines from the game.

Harden’s unstoppable pick and roll game

Much pre-game analysis focused on how the Spurs would guard the Rockets’ favorite offensive play, the pick and roll. The talk was right: the Spurs have options for how they defend the play. The bad news is that none of them worked. The Rockets went to the pick and roll 53 times last night, creating all kinds of problems for the Spurs defense.

When the Spurs tried hedging and recovering, Harden burned them with the drive.

The Spurs then tried switching, so Harden abused whichever poor soul was switched onto him, like this time when sunk a stepback three with Jonathan Simmons guarding him.

Finally, they tried denying Harden the ball. Welp, no luck there either.

To coin a vintage Bill Worrell term made famous last time these two teams faced off in the playoffs, I thought James Harden had the Spurs defense just “bamboozled”. The play above sums it up: Ginobili overplays Harden to deny him the ball, so Harden cuts back door, receives the ball, and lobs it to Capela for the easy dunk as the defense collapses. The Spurs will undoubtedly come up with a new scheme to defend the Harden pick ‘n roll but Gregg Popovich looks to have his work cut out for him based on last night’s evidence.

The return of Clint Capela

Clint Capela was ineffective in the OKC series, looking out of his depth when matched up with the Thunder bigs. Not tonight. Capela rebounded from a poor round 1 with a peach of a game against the Spurs, dropping in 20 points on 8-10 shooting (all of his points were in the paint or free throws). Capela played his role to a T, being aggressive on the boards and making himself available to finish lobs, fast breaks, and pick and rolls. Capela was an uber-efficient 1.54 points per possession on the night, the most by any player who played significant minutes.

Moreyball at its finest

The Rockets knew their 3-pointers just had to start falling if they were going to do any damage in the Playoffs. This game showed what the Rockets are capable of when they do. The Rockets shot a blistering 44% from the 3-pt line against the Spurs, making 22 from 50 from deep, the second-most ever by a team in the playoffs. Trevor Ariza led the way with 5 3-pointers, while compatriots Ryan Anderson (4), James Harden (3), Eric Gordon (3), Lou Williams (2) and Patrick Beverley (2) also made their presence felt from behind the arc. The Rockets shot chart reflected their near-perfectly executed offensive performance.

Ryan Anderson’s shot shows some life

One of the most worrying parts of the OKC series was the woeful shooting of Ryan Anderson. Ryno was 3-24 against the Thunder and seemed hesitant to shoot much of the time. In one game against the Spurs Anderson has already surpassed his 3-point production in the five games of round 1, shooting 4-10 from three. Anderson seemed to find a comfort zone on the left wing, where he made 3 of his 4 3-pointers.

Harden’s passes set up the Rocket offense

James Harden’s 14 assists were a playoff career high for him. He found his favorite roll man Clint Capela for six of those assists, and his mate Trevor Ariza for another four. Harden assisted on seven of the Rockets’ 22 3-pointers.

Cranking up the pace

In the regular season the Rockets played at the 3rd-highest pace (102.5 possessions) while the Spurs were one of the more pedestrian teams, with just a 27th-ranked pace (96.4 possessions). Last night’s game was well and truly played at the Rockets’ speed as they cranked the pace up to 105.4 possessions.

The Rockets pushed the pace as much as possible, running off makes and misses, and putting the Spurs defense on its heels. They created transition opportunities and got good offensive motion early in the shot clock–one of the issues they faced against OKC. One of the leaders of the transition team was Trevor Ariza who had 7 of the team’s 27 fast break points.

Beverley channels his focus

Last but not least, a word for Patrick Beverley. The Rockets starting guard didn’t fill up the stat sheet last night but his impact was felt in the advanced statistics. Beverley had the team’s lowest defensive rating (with 61.3), the lowest opponent EFG% at 28.6%, and the team’s second highest +/- at +36. He avoided the two near-melees and turned in a measured, mature performance. He’s taking Tony Parker’s mini-resurgence personally and is out to do whatever he can to help the team win.

Carl Fudge is a former MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference organizer and long time Rockets fan.

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Poison Pill: The Impact of Recent Extensions on the Rockets’ Trade Options

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Just before the start of the regular season, the Houston Rockets signed Jalen Green to a three-year, $105.3 million extension and Alperen Sengun to a five-year, $185 million extension, locking up two key pieces of their rebuild. These extensions eliminated any meaningful salary cap room for Houston in the summer of 2025. However, since the NBA is trending away from key players changing teams via free agency (recent examples such as Paul George and the Rockets’ own Fred VanVleet notwithstanding), Rafael Stone and his team likely viewed the extensions as worth the risk.

The Rockets have positioned themselves as one of the league’s most interesting trade teams, as they boast a unique combination of good young players, premium future draft picks, and expiring salaries. But signing Green and Sengun to those extensions made trading each of those players this season significantly more difficult.

Article VII, Section 8(g) of the 2023 NBA Collective Bargaining Agreement – you know the one! – is more commonly known as the Poison Pill Provision, which relates to the trade treatment of players recently signed to rookie scale extensions. If a recently extended player is traded prior to the July 1 in which the extension kicks in, then while the player’s outgoing salary would be the same as his then current cap figure, the player’s incoming salary to the acquiring team would instead be the *average* of the player’s then current salary and all salaries during the extension. This makes any trade made under the Poison Pill Provisions exceedingly difficult.

Using Green and Sengun as examples, their respective outgoing and incoming salaries would be:

Jalen Green
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $12.5 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $29.5 million

Alperen Sengun
Outgoing Salary for Houston: $5.4 million
Incoming Salary for Acquiring Team: $31.7 million

These vast discrepancies in outgoing and incoming salary treatment make Green and Sengun very difficult to trade, as most NBA trades must fall within salary-matching rules. While there are possible trade scenarios involving numerous players and salaries that could allow for Green or Sengun to be traded, most of those scenarios are unrealistic and/or would involve three or more teams and the expenditure of additional assets to get those additional teams to take on salaries.

The Rockets don’t seem to have much desire to move either Green or Sengun right now. However, if they do decide to move either of them, it would most likely not be until next July, when the Poison Pill Provision is no longer applicable and those players can be traded at their new extension salaries.

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Houston Rockets Draft Decisions: Who Will Be the #3 Pick?

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Houston Rockets Podcast

It’s officially NBA Draft Week!

The weeks of speculation are coming to an end as we’ve just about arrived at the 2024 NBA Draft. The Rockets hold picks #3 and #44 and could be quite active on the trade market.

Dave Hardisty and David Weiner paired up on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the options before the Houston Rockets as they approach the June 26th NBA Draft. Is it really down to Donovan Clingan and Reed Sheppard as options? The pair also discuss trade-down options and whether Devin Carter could be intriguing to Ime Udoka. And are the Rockets a darkhorse for a Paul George trade?

The podcast premieres at 8:00am CT! Come join us!



CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Houston Rockets options with the #3 pick of the 2024 NBA Draft

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Houston Rockets 2024 NBA Draft prospects Zaccharie Risacher Stephon Castle Reed Sheppard Donovan Clingan

The offseason is now underway.

The forecast looks good for the Houston Rockets, but… there’s pressure as well this offseason because there are a handful of other West teams that might have rosier futures. Ime Udoka wants to win and win big. As we are about five weeks away from the NBA Draft, what are the Rockets looking to do this summer?

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Rockets shockingly landing the #3 pick and their options in this draft, including Reed Sheppard, Donovan Clingan, Zaccharie Risacher, Stephon Castle, Matas Buzelis and others. They also discuss the possibility of some big game hunting in Houston.


CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Podcast: Steven Adams, Mikal Bridges and Trade Possibilities for the Rockets

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Houston Rockets Trade Deadline 2024

The Houston Rockets already made one deal, acquiring center Steven Adams from Memphis for a handful of second-round picks, but we still have several days left before this Thursday’s NBA Trade Deadline.

Are more deals on the way?

Rumors of interest in Mikal Bridges have swirled, with the Rockets holding precious (and unprotected) first-round picks from Brooklyn. They also could use some help inside this season, which Adams can not provide. Shooting is always in demand.

David Weiner joined Dave Hardisty on the ClutchFans podcast to discuss the Adams trade, its impact on the Rockets in 2024-25 and beyond, the Mikal Bridges rumors, the Brooklyn picks, other trade possibilities and options for Rafael Stone moving forward. Also discussed is the play of Houston’s core 6 prospects: Amen Thompson, Cam Whitmore, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason and Jalen Green.


CLUTCHFANS PODCAST: SPOTIFY | APPLE

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Rockets trade for center Steven Adams

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Steven Adams Houston Rockets

The Rockets made a surprise trade on Thursday, sending the contract of Victor Oladipo and three second-round picks to Memphis for center Steven Adams.

The deal came together quickly and the Rockets had a small window to get it done, hence why this trade was made with a week to go until the trade deadline.

The Price

When you consider that Memphis did this for cost savings primarily and that Adams would not play for any team in the league this season, the price seemed a little high to me. The Rockets gave up the OKC second-round pick this year, which is no big loss, but they also give up the better of Brooklyn’s or Golden State’s second-round pick this season. That’s a pretty good pick (likely in the late 30’s). They also give up the better of Houston’s or OKC’s second-round pick in 2025. If things go as planned for the Rockets, that pick should be in the 45-55 range.

But they didn’t sacrifice a first-round pick, which would have been brutal, and they were not going to use all those seconds this season. So it’s just a matter of opportunity cost — who else could they have gotten for this package?

My understanding is they (particularly Ime Udoka) are very high on Adams.

The Rockets also did this move for cap purposes as well. By moving out the Oladipo contract, which was expiring, and bringing in Adams’ deal, which is signed for $12.4M next season, the window for the Rockets to put together a trade package for a star player is extended out until the 2025 trade deadline. They continue to wait to see which players, if any, shake loose here and become available. They want flexible (see: expiring) contracts that they can combine with assets and this gives them another year to be in that position.

The Trade

It’s not often that the Rockets acquire a player I had not considered beforehand but that’s the case with Steven Adams. The Rockets sorely need a big with size that provides more traditional center strengths, making Clint Capela, Robert Williams, Nick Richards or Daniel Gafford potential candidates, but Adams was overlooked for a few reasons.

First, the 30-year old big man is out for the season after knee surgery cost him the entire 2023-24 campaign, so the Rockets won’t get any benefit from this trade this season. Secondly, Adams is not your traditional center either when it comes to rim protection.

But what Adams does do, he’s really good at and he has some of the same strengths of Brook Lopez, who the Rockets tried to sign in the offseason. Adams is quite possibly the strongest guy in the league and a legitimate 6-foot-11 with a 7-foot-5 wingspan. He’s an outstanding screen-setter, something that could really benefit the likes of Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson and Jalen Green. He was also an elite rebounder last season, finishing 6th in the league in caroms at 11.5 a game despite playing just 27.0 minutes a contest.

After watching Jonas Valanciunas absolutely bully the Rockets inside on Wednesday, it should be apparent by now to everyone that this was a pretty big need.

In 2021-22, the Memphis Grizzlies finished #2 in the West at 56-26. Their top two players in Net Rating that season were Dillon Brooks (+11.0) and Adams (+8.3), key cogs in a defense that held opponents to 108.6 points per 100 possessions. They’re both now Houston Rockets.

So this adds another trusted vet to Ime Udoka’s rotation.

The question is will the 30-year old Adams return to form after the knee injury? Adams sprained the posterior cruciate ligament in his right knee a year ago, which cost him the end of that season and the playoffs. He tried rehabbing it and it never got better, so surgery became the option just as this season was kicking off.

I like to think the Rockets did their due diligence on that, despite the short time it took for this deal to come together, but that’s unclear.

If he does bounce back, then Udoka has a big man he can turn to reliably in situational matchups or on nights when the younger bigs struggle. He wouldn’t be Boban or even Jock Landale in that scenario — he’s going to play, so the frontcourt depth in 2024-25 should be better. In the end, they got a starting-caliber center who will have no problems coming off the bench, and that’s what they were looking for.

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